Are you taking any progesterone? This is the step in the steroid pathway where the two sets of hormones (ovarian and stress) intersect. Many women (especially those in surgical menopause, but it can happen with natural as well) find that if they increase progesterone a bit during stress, that keeps them on an even keel. For me, another 5 mg of progesterone cream makes all the difference.
Since progesterone also tends to counteract the neurostimulation of estrogen and spares estrogen for more estrogen actions as opposed to trying to fulfill progesterone needs as well, looking into whether you might benefit from some/more might be a fruitful avenue of investigation for you right now.
And yes, many women find that their hormone situation is very fluid, some for quite a long time. It all depends on whether your ovaries give up quickly or slowly. I'm speaking relatively, of course--they don't quit entirely. In fact, ovarian hormone production rarely declines in a smooth curve. Also, every time you change your hrt (and thyroid), things take at least a month and more likely three to fully accomodate.
I say all the above assuming that you have experienced no adhesion problems with the climara recently. If a patch is not 100% stuck down 100% of the time, you're not receiving a full or consistent dose. It seems that every fall, when women start using more potent (oilier) body lotions, bath products and all, a certain number find they suddenly have trouble with their hormone doses and it turns out their patches are not adhering properly. It's always the first thing to eliminate when having sudden problems.
Good luck in finding the particular solution that's right for your body, and know that you certainly aren't alone in having to tweak things from time to time.